Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 10.595135 12.204810 13.930749 15.913670 18.123381 20.504581 23.258966
2025-09-14 8.297704 10.443246 12.908141 15.928815 19.508935 23.594258 28.584822
2025-09-21 6.983010 9.405435 12.337298 16.105200 20.773467 26.319643 33.354762
2025-09-28 5.964450 8.523637 11.763443 16.098044 21.670029 28.511604 37.457061
2025-10-05 5.343181 8.040661 11.590668 16.505376 23.020801 31.241167 42.258337
2025-10-12 4.794938 7.572754 11.362260 16.774714 24.151939 33.687490 46.748597
2025-10-19 4.281284 7.083676 11.040160 16.859538 24.998894 35.756399 50.786758
2025-10-26 3.696073 6.417350 10.396966 16.427029 25.081778 36.775424 53.435334
2025-11-02 3.231348 5.877022 9.878243 16.113224 25.279928 37.919566 56.251007
2025-11-09 2.825997 5.381661 9.376326 15.772405 25.395349 38.922762 58.874151
2025-11-16 2.485921 4.952665 8.934042 15.477382 25.540215 39.945859 61.529278
2025-11-23 2.153383 4.496354 8.405036 15.001815 25.373525 40.493792 63.504011
2025-11-30 1.961565 4.270604 8.236649 15.087115 26.065251 42.320905 67.389651
2025-12-07 1.777760 4.037840 8.035198 15.100600 26.638131 43.984437 71.082764
2025-12-14 1.639180 3.874002 7.935933 15.269392 27.452120 46.023403 75.375247
2025-12-21 1.488712 3.668066 7.743069 15.262543 27.975279 47.628096 79.056408
2025-12-28 1.408419 3.595192 7.782885 15.652424 29.151650 50.262561 84.349169
2026-01-04 1.317528 3.488960 7.750839 15.910264 30.114471 52.587973 89.227164
2026-01-11 1.213248 3.340692 7.625997 15.991473 30.778757 54.457558 93.447116
2026-01-18 1.063973 3.071501 7.243197 15.577427 30.577476 54.937491 95.515967
2026-01-25 0.942943 2.850367 6.934904 15.277072 30.549693 55.682720 98.004731
2026-02-01 0.832527 2.638387 6.625321 14.950910 30.454777 56.305221 100.302867
2026-02-08 0.737806 2.451089 6.349441 14.668620 30.418302 57.012665 102.742645